Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Feb 10, 2023 it closed at $21,625, a return of +20.5%. SPY returned +3.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Apr 11, 2023 it closed at $30,200, a return of +68.3%. SPY returned +4.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jul 10, 2023 it closed at $30,412, a return of +69.5%. SPY returned +12.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jan 11, 2024 it closed at $46,339, a return of +158.3%. SPY returned +22.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jan 10, 2026 it closed at $90,505, a return of +404.4%. SPY returned +82.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 10, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Apr 11, 2023 it closed at $30,200, a return of +68.3%. SPY returned +4.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.