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Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Sep 4, 2022, at 15:36 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“i'll caution that it's more than likely that we're going to see the crypto market go much lower later this year along with the stock market”
Watch at 15:36Retail CRYPTO BANS Are Here! What It Could Mean For YOU!
PredictionBTCwill fallby Dec 31, 2022

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$20,000

Sep 4, 2022

Price at close

$25,826

Sep 4, 2023

Return

+29.1%

S&P 500 +17.4%

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Sep 4, 2023 it closed at $25,826, a return of +29.1%. SPY returned +17.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Mar 2022Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 4, 2022
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Mar 2022Sep 2022Apr 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 4, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$20,000Sep 4, 2022$20,338Oct 4, 2022+1.7%S&P 500 −2.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$20,000Sep 4, 2022$16,885Dec 3, 2022−15.6%S&P 500 +4.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$20,000Sep 4, 2022$22,354Mar 3, 2023+11.8%S&P 500 +4.3%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$20,000Sep 4, 2022$25,826Sep 4, 2023+29.1%S&P 500 +17.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$20,000Sep 4, 2022$111,706Sep 3, 2025+458.5%S&P 500 +71.9%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 3, 2027——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Correct$20,000Sep 4, 2022$16,542Dec 31, 2022−17.3%S&P 500 −1.3%
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Oct 4, 2022 it closed at $20,338, a return of +1.7%. SPY returned −2.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Dec 3, 2022 it closed at $16,885, a return of −15.6%. SPY returned +4.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Mar 3, 2023 it closed at $22,354, a return of +11.8%. SPY returned +4.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Sep 4, 2023 it closed at $25,826, a return of +29.1%. SPY returned +17.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Sep 3, 2025 it closed at $111,706, a return of +458.5%. SPY returned +71.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 3, 2027.

Why: Stated deadline

BTC closed at $20,000 on Sep 4, 2022. On Dec 31, 2022 it closed at $16,542, a return of −17.3%. SPY returned −1.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

What was said around it

regulators in thailand demanding that crypto exchanges d-list meme coins nfts and social tokens more recently singapore announced it wants to limit retail crypto investment and as i mentioned in the introduction in canada the ontario sec set an annual limit of 30 000 canadian dollars on altcoin investments for citizens of the province which presumably excludes accredited investors i'll reiterate that most if not all these restrictions are being encouraged if not outright called for by disgruntled cryptocurrency investors and i'll caution that it's more than likely that we're going to see the crypto market go much lower later this year along with the stock market when this inevitably happens you can bet that there will be even more calls for crypto regulation and retribution most of which will inevitably result in retail investors like you and me having even less access to cryptocurrencies and all the different ways you can trade them what's even more concerning is that this will make it that much more difficult for new crypto projects to get off the ground since they'll be more exclusive to accredited investors than ever before not only that but it will be even more difficult for quality

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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