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Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Jan 11, 2023, at 19:14 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“we seem to be entering the worst stage of the crypto cycle where the market bottoms and people stop paying attention”
Watch at 19:14The Fed Said WHAT!? Latest Minutes Show What's Coming!!
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$17,943

Jan 11, 2023

Price at close

$46,339

Jan 11, 2024

Return

+158.3%

S&P 500 +22.3%

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jan 11, 2024 it closed at $46,339, a return of +158.3%. SPY returned +22.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Nov 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 11, 2023
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Jul 2022Feb 2023Aug 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 11, 2023

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$17,943Jan 11, 2023$21,625Feb 10, 2023+20.5%S&P 500 +3.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$17,943Jan 11, 2023$30,200Apr 11, 2023+68.3%S&P 500 +4.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$17,943Jan 11, 2023$30,412Jul 10, 2023+69.5%S&P 500 +12.0%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$17,943Jan 11, 2023$46,339Jan 11, 2024+158.3%S&P 500 +22.3%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$17,943Jan 11, 2023$90,505Jan 10, 2026+404.4%S&P 500 +82.6%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 10, 2028——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Feb 10, 2023 it closed at $21,625, a return of +20.5%. SPY returned +3.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Apr 11, 2023 it closed at $30,200, a return of +68.3%. SPY returned +4.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jul 10, 2023 it closed at $30,412, a return of +69.5%. SPY returned +12.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jan 11, 2024 it closed at $46,339, a return of +158.3%. SPY returned +22.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $17,943 on Jan 11, 2023. On Jan 10, 2026 it closed at $90,505, a return of +404.4%. SPY returned +82.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 10, 2028.

What was said around it

crypto positions this means it's mostly retail investors involved and I reckon that most of them don't care too much about what the FED does the thing is that your run-of-the-mill retail investor is probably being squeezed by Rising interest rates and high inflation more than most people as credit card bills and auto loan payments continue to climb alongside the cost of living we could see lots of forced selling in the coming months the Silver Lining to this situation is that the crypto Market has a cycle just like all other asset classes we seem to be entering the worst stage of the crypto cycle where the market bottoms and people stop paying attention make no mistake this is the time when winners are made not Financial advice [Music]

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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