Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Aug 21, 2024, at 21:14 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“in the short term the risk from macro events like that seen in July and August is very real but in the long term fiat currency debasement by quantitative easing is the biggest Story by far and this is why Bitcoin will eventually win if history is any indication it might just bring the rest of the crypto Market with it as well”
Watch at 21:14Will There Be Another CRASH?? Yen Carry Trade Explained!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$61,156

Aug 21, 2024

Price at close

$112,500

Aug 21, 2025

Return

+84.0%

S&P 500 +14.8%

BTC closed at $61,156 on Aug 21, 2024. On Aug 21, 2025 it closed at $112,500, a return of +84.0%. SPY returned +14.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Feb 2024Jun 2024Oct 2024Feb 2025Jun 2025Oct 2025Said on Aug 21, 2024
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Feb 2024Sep 2024Apr 2025Oct 2025Said on Aug 21, 2024

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$61,156Aug 21, 2024$63,201Sep 20, 2024+3.3%S&P 500 +1.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$61,156Aug 21, 2024$92,311Nov 19, 2024+50.9%S&P 500 +5.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$61,156Aug 21, 2024$95,780Feb 17, 2025+56.6%S&P 500 +9.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$61,156Aug 21, 2024$112,500Aug 21, 2025+84.0%S&P 500 +14.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 21, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 20, 2029——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $61,156 on Aug 21, 2024. On Sep 20, 2024 it closed at $63,201, a return of +3.3%. SPY returned +1.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $61,156 on Aug 21, 2024. On Nov 19, 2024 it closed at $92,311, a return of +50.9%. SPY returned +5.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $61,156 on Aug 21, 2024. On Feb 17, 2025 it closed at $95,780, a return of +56.6%. SPY returned +9.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $61,156 on Aug 21, 2024. On Aug 21, 2025 it closed at $112,500, a return of +84.0%. SPY returned +14.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 21, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 20, 2029.

What was said around it

institutions to move in and out of large positions on mass 247365 as such it functions as a liquidity alarm Bell when liquidity Falls BTC is indeed the first thing to move but when liquidity floods back in it always reapeat in moments of Crisis it does trade like a risk-on asset but over a long enough time frame its performance is undefeated volatility is in a long-term downtrend and this means that returns will eventually slow down too in the short term the risk from macro events like that seen in July and August is very real but in the long term fiat currency debasement by quantitative easing is the biggest Story by far and this is why Bitcoin will eventually win if history is any indication it might just bring the rest of the crypto Market with it as well right that's all for today folks let us know in the comments if the flash crash turned you into a statistic or if you Diamond handed through the chop smash the like button if you're in crypto for the long term and while you're at it make sure you're subscribed and have your bell notification switched on too that way you'll be the first to catch our next upload as always thank you for watching and I'll see you next time this is guy over

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