Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $65,800 on Jul 25, 2024. On Aug 24, 2024 it closed at $64,157, a return of −2.5%. SPY returned +4.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $65,800 on Jul 25, 2024. On Oct 23, 2024 it closed at $66,669, a return of +1.3%. SPY returned +7.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $65,800 on Jul 25, 2024. On Jan 21, 2025 it closed at $106,144, a return of +61.3%. SPY returned +12.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $65,800 on Jul 25, 2024. On Jul 25, 2025 it closed at $117,614, a return of +78.7%. SPY returned +19.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 25, 2027.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 24, 2029.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $65,800 on Jul 25, 2024. On Aug 15, 2024 it closed at $57,541, a return of −12.6%. SPY returned +2.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.