Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Jan 6, 2026, at 14:20 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“Meanwhile, crypto prices are also likely to fall,   not because gold is falling, but because the  liquidity drain caused by debt refinancing is   creating a riskoff environment that's pushing down  gold's price due to risk on investors getting out   of gold.”
Watch at 14:20The Truth About The Gold-Bitcoin Rotation
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$93,748

Jan 6, 2026

Price at close

$63,650

Jul 5, 2026

Return

−32.1%

S&P 500 +8.2%

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Oct 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$62,910Feb 5, 2026−32.9%S&P 500 −2.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$68,854Apr 6, 2026−26.6%S&P 500 −4.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$63,650Jul 5, 2026−32.1%S&P 500 +8.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 6, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2031——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Feb 5, 2026 it closed at $62,910, a return of −32.9%. SPY returned −2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Apr 6, 2026 it closed at $68,854, a return of −26.6%. SPY returned −4.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 6, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2031.

What was said around it

falling, assets will keep rising.   As some of you will know, there's a strong inverse  correlation between gold and the DXY. When the   DXY rises, gold tends to fall. And as we've  just learned, there is a lot of speculation   and leverage in the gold market. So, when the  DXY eventually rises as debts are refinanced   sometime in 2026, gold's price will likely fall,  causing speculative capital to flee and triggering   liquidations, pushing prices down even more.  Meanwhile, crypto prices are also likely to fall,   not because gold is falling, but because the  liquidity drain caused by debt refinancing is   creating a riskoff environment that's pushing down  gold's price due to risk on investors getting out   of gold. Once again, this highlights the fact that  it's not gold which drives crypto prices. It's the   risk off or risk on environment that gold's price  is signaling based on its demand drivers. When   most of the demand for gold is coming from risk  off investors, gold's price will rise while crypto   falls. But when most of the demand is coming from  risk on investors, as is the case now, gold's   price will fall while crypto's price falls as  well. I'll quickly note that

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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