Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Jan 30, 2023, at 19:24 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“my guess is that it's going to be a recovery year for Bitcoin where it chops up a bit right we go up we go down and hopefully by you know hopefully as we as we get later into the year early next year right around the Bitcoin having we can start to see a bit more stronger move to the upside”
Watch at 19:24Crypto News: Cardano, Bitcoin, SEC Moves, Market Rally & More!
PredictionBTCwill riseby Dec 31, 2024
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$22,826

Jan 30, 2023

Price at close

$42,941

Jan 30, 2024

Return

+88.1%

S&P 500 +24.4%

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Jan 30, 2024 it closed at $42,941, a return of +88.1%. SPY returned +24.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Nov 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 30, 2023
$0$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000Aug 2022Feb 2023Sep 2023Mar 2024Said on Jan 30, 2023

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$23,629Mar 1, 2023+3.5%S&P 500 −1.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$29,233Apr 30, 2023+28.1%S&P 500 +4.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$29,353Jul 29, 2023+28.6%S&P 500 +14.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$42,941Jan 30, 2024+88.1%S&P 500 +24.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$84,650Jan 29, 2026+270.8%S&P 500 +80.2%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 29, 2028——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Correct$22,826Jan 30, 2023$93,576Dec 31, 2024+310.0%S&P 500 +50.4%
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Mar 1, 2023 it closed at $23,629, a return of +3.5%. SPY returned −1.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Apr 30, 2023 it closed at $29,233, a return of +28.1%. SPY returned +4.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Jul 29, 2023 it closed at $29,353, a return of +28.6%. SPY returned +14.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Jan 30, 2024 it closed at $42,941, a return of +88.1%. SPY returned +24.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Jan 29, 2026 it closed at $84,650, a return of +270.8%. SPY returned +80.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 29, 2028.

Why: Stated deadline

BTC closed at $22,826 on Jan 30, 2023. On Dec 31, 2024 it closed at $93,576, a return of +310.0%. SPY returned +50.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

What was said around it

and compare it to the last two cycles so if we look at the 2021 Peak and look at the ROI as measured from then compare it to the 2013 Peak and take that out to the following Peak and then the 2017 Peak and take that out to the following Peak this is what it looks like so you know you have these two lines which represent the the last two cycles from Peak to Peak and then the green line is from the last peak in 2021 and where are we where we are right now my guess is that it's going to be a recovery year for Bitcoin where it chops up a bit right we go up we go down and hopefully by you know hopefully as we as we get later into the year early next year right around the Bitcoin having we can start to see a bit more stronger move to the upside but make no mistake about it I mean you know this move right now by Bitcoin is is somewhat reminiscent of of what we experienced since 2019 the reason why again that's interesting is if you look at the the Huddle waves for long-term holders both in 2015 and in 2019 they didn't really change a whole lot despite You know despite whatever moves we had Bitcoin went up 4X in 2019 Bitcoin went up about 2x in 2015. these did not really see a massive change in

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