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Joseph Carlson: VICI will rise

Said on Mar 17, 2022, at 3:08 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“this is one that i remain long-term bullish on but i realize it's going to be a slow moving company it is after all a real estate company”
Watch at 3:08The Amazing Business Strategy Of AMC
PredictionVICIwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$27.81

Mar 17, 2022

Price at close

$31.17

Mar 17, 2023

Total return, dividends included

+17.7%

S&P 500 −9.8%

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 17, 2023 it closed at $31.17, a total return of +17.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −9.8%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

VICIWindow checked
$26$28$30$32$34$36Sep 2021Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Said on Mar 17, 2022
$25$30$35$40Sep 2021Apr 2022Oct 2022May 2023Said on Mar 17, 2022

VICI closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$27.81Mar 17, 2022$29.09Apr 14, 2022+6.0%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −0.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$27.81Mar 17, 2022$29.27Jun 15, 2022+6.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −13.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$27.81Mar 17, 2022$33.14Sep 13, 2022+22.2%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −10.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$27.81Mar 17, 2022$31.17Mar 17, 2023+17.7%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −9.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$27.81Mar 17, 2022$32.25Mar 14, 2025+35.6%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +33.3%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 16, 2027——
Why: 30 days

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Apr 14, 2022 it closed at $29.09, a total return of +6.0% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −0.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Jun 15, 2022 it closed at $29.27, a total return of +6.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −13.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Sep 13, 2022 it closed at $33.14, a total return of +22.2% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −10.2%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 17, 2023 it closed at $31.17, a total return of +17.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −9.8%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

VICI closed at $27.81 on Mar 17, 2022. On Mar 14, 2025 it closed at $32.25, a total return of +35.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +33.3%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 16, 2027.

What was said around it

doubled my money in if we go to real estate i've minimized my amount of holdings here in real estate i basically hold one company which is vici i have some holding an mgp which is mgm growth properties but vichy is buying mgp so this is actually going to be converted to vichy shares later on this year vg's still in the red i basically never been in the green on this company but it's only traded down a couple thousand and it stayed there for the past six months so it really hasn't sold off quite as much as the rest of the market and this is one that i remain long-term bullish on but i realize it's going to be a slow moving company it is after all a real estate company in the restaurant category we have some other newer holdings starbucks is one that i've been recently buying into very bullish on this company but we're going to be talking later in this episode about some of the challenges they're facing and texas roadhouse is one of the casual dining restaurants that i think will have a lot of opportunity the rest of this year to increase their operating income and their fundamentals which i think will drive up the stock price and then the last category in my portfolio is the banking sector

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Joseph Carlsona call with no clear direction

“I continue to hold vichi because I feel the tenant roster is getting stronger by the day the income line is contractual based there's incremental rent raises and this company pays me massive dividends that grow every single year”

Nov 20, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill outperform

“I don't believe this is going to last forever and I don't believe that vich will underperform per the S&P 500 forever”

Oct 16, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill outperform

“I believe that Vichy is the most likely to outperform based on the low valuation it currently has the high yield and the fact that it's growing its yield faster than most other reads”

Aug 2, 2023

Not scored

Joseph Carlsona call under review

“I believe vici's fair value today remains around 36 dollars per share so I see ample upside in the stock”

Jul 26, 2023

Not scored

Joseph CarlsonVICI— a company event

“I think vichi's gonna buy this thing I think there's a very high probability of it I would give the odds right now around 60 percent I think that's the chance that Vichy ends up buying this”

Jun 27, 2023 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Joseph CarlsonVICIwill rise

“I believe that the properties in Vegas are going to climb a value a meaningful amount so I'm not concerned about this company at all”

May 1, 2023 · after 1 year

Incorrect−10.9%