Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Nov 5, 2025, at 20:12 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“And with the US now one of the biggest holders of  BTC on the planet, that's structurally bullish.”
Watch at 20:12The US Government's Bitcoin Holdings Exposed
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Incorrect so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$103,885

Nov 5, 2025

Price at close

$79,861

May 4, 2026

Return

−23.1%

S&P 500 +6.6%

BTC closed at $103,885 on Nov 5, 2025. On May 4, 2026 it closed at $79,861, a return of −23.1%. SPY returned +6.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 5, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 5, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$103,885Nov 5, 2025$89,330Dec 5, 2025−14.0%S&P 500 +1.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$103,885Nov 5, 2025$75,770Feb 3, 2026−27.1%S&P 500 +2.1%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$103,885Nov 5, 2025$79,861May 4, 2026−23.1%S&P 500 +6.6%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 5, 2026——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 4, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 4, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $103,885 on Nov 5, 2025. On Dec 5, 2025 it closed at $89,330, a return of −14.0%. SPY returned +1.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $103,885 on Nov 5, 2025. On Feb 3, 2026 it closed at $75,770, a return of −27.1%. SPY returned +2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $103,885 on Nov 5, 2025. On May 4, 2026 it closed at $79,861, a return of −23.1%. SPY returned +6.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 5, 2026.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 4, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 4, 2030.

What was said around it

dump  seized coins and the price would take a hit. You   may remember last summer when Germany famously  paperhanded the local bottom, selling off its   BTC and giving us some ugly red candles in the  process. Same dump, different government. Well,   in the US, that overhang no longer exists. The  no sale mandate removes a major source of sell   pressure and replaces it with a vague imperative  to instead accumulate more BTC without spending   taxpayers money. So the federal diamond hands are  right up there with Michael sailors at this point.   And with the US now one of the biggest holders of  BTC on the planet, that's structurally bullish.   But there's a flip side. A huge portion of Bitcoin  circling supply is now controlled by a single   entity whose policy can change with an election or  a fiscal crisis. The current policy is retention,   but an executive order can easily be reversed.  A future decision to sell could have a massive   impact on the price and more importantly could  slam the door on Bitcoin's stint as a federally   recognized store of value. For now though,  the strategic Bitcoin reserve has 3 years of a   Trumpshaped runway. But many questions remain  unanswered.

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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