Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Aug 4, 2024, at 32:12 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“central banks will have to buy up the excess government debt to ensure that yields stay down and markets stay calm this will be rocket fuel for risk assets as they are the most sensitive to liquidity and at the tip of that space shuttle you've got crypto”
Watch at 32:12Watch Out!! Economy Could Get Worse?! The BIS Predicts This!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$58,161

Aug 4, 2024

Price at close

$115,055

Aug 4, 2025

Return

+97.8%

S&P 500 +23.5%

BTC closed at $58,161 on Aug 4, 2024. On Aug 4, 2025 it closed at $115,055, a return of +97.8%. SPY returned +23.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Feb 2024Jun 2024Oct 2024Feb 2025Jun 2025Oct 2025Said on Aug 4, 2024
$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Feb 2024Aug 2024Mar 2025Oct 2025Said on Aug 4, 2024

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$58,161Aug 4, 2024$57,488Sep 3, 2024−1.2%S&P 500 +6.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$58,161Aug 4, 2024$69,375Nov 2, 2024+19.3%S&P 500 +10.7%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$58,161Aug 4, 2024$102,430Jan 31, 2025+76.1%S&P 500 +17.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$58,161Aug 4, 2024$115,055Aug 4, 2025+97.8%S&P 500 +23.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 4, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Aug 3, 2029——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $58,161 on Aug 4, 2024. On Sep 3, 2024 it closed at $57,488, a return of −1.2%. SPY returned +6.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $58,161 on Aug 4, 2024. On Nov 2, 2024 it closed at $69,375, a return of +19.3%. SPY returned +10.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $58,161 on Aug 4, 2024. On Jan 31, 2025 it closed at $102,430, a return of +76.1%. SPY returned +17.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $58,161 on Aug 4, 2024. On Aug 4, 2025 it closed at $115,055, a return of +97.8%. SPY returned +23.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 4, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Aug 3, 2029.

What was said around it

case of too much inflation holders of government bonds will demand a yield to compensate for the fact that when the bond is paid back the money won't be worth what it was when they lent it out because of inflation this can likewise cause rates to rise and could cause Bond volatility now aside from economic growth driven by a parabolic increase in productivity the only solution to this problem is what macro analysts call debt monetization and what we call Money printing central banks will have to buy up the excess government debt to ensure that yields stay down and markets stay calm this will be rocket fuel for risk assets as they are the most sensitive to liquidity and at the tip of that space shuttle you've got crypto according to macro analyst Michael how BTC prices lag changes in liquidity by 6 to 8 weeks as we've seen with our own eyes BTC will respond instantly to emergency intervention you know bank bailouts that kind of stuff now when it comes to what all of this means for you it's a bit of a double-edged sword on one Edge interest rates and inflation are likely to remain elevated for the average person for now on the other Edge meanwhile this will create extreme social pressures

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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