Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Apr 27, 2022 it closed at $39,236, a return of −16.7%. SPY returned −8.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Jun 26, 2022 it closed at $21,038, a return of −55.4%. SPY returned −14.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Sep 24, 2022 it closed at $18,921, a return of −59.8%. SPY returned −18.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Mar 28, 2023 it closed at $27,261, a return of −42.1%. SPY returned −11.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Mar 27, 2025 it closed at $87,232, a return of +85.1%. SPY returned +30.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 27, 2027.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $47,122 on Mar 28, 2022. On Jun 26, 2022 it closed at $21,038, a return of −55.4%. SPY returned −14.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.