Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Jul 5, 2025, at 14:01 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“there's still a chance this crypto bull run  could continue throughout the rest of the year”
Watch at 14:01Crypto in Crisis? How the Fourth Turning Could Reshape Everything
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$108,198

Jul 5, 2025

Price at close

$63,650

Jul 5, 2026

Return

−41.2%

S&P 500 +21.3%

BTC closed at $108,198 on Jul 5, 2025. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −41.2%. SPY returned +21.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Jan 2026May 2026Sep 2026Said on Jul 5, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jan 2025Jul 2025Feb 2026Sep 2026Said on Jul 5, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$108,198Jul 5, 2025$115,055Aug 4, 2025+6.3%S&P 500 +1.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$108,198Jul 5, 2025$122,232Oct 3, 2025+13.0%S&P 500 +8.1%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$108,198Jul 5, 2025$88,839Jan 1, 2026−17.9%S&P 500 +10.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$108,198Jul 5, 2025$63,650Jul 5, 2026−41.2%S&P 500 +21.3%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 4, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 4, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $108,198 on Jul 5, 2025. On Aug 4, 2025 it closed at $115,055, a return of +6.3%. SPY returned +1.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $108,198 on Jul 5, 2025. On Oct 3, 2025 it closed at $122,232, a return of +13.0%. SPY returned +8.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $108,198 on Jul 5, 2025. On Jan 1, 2026 it closed at $88,839, a return of −17.9%. SPY returned +10.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $108,198 on Jul 5, 2025. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −41.2%. SPY returned +21.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 4, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 4, 2030.

What was said around it

there's a classic saying in investing  circles Economic expansions don't simply die of   old age They are murdered And today there seems  to be no shortage of such potential catalysts   From intensifying global trade wars to China's  increasingly aggressive posture towards Taiwan   Now this doesn't mean you should panic sell  your portfolio and brace for the apocalypse   But given that we're heading deeper into this  fourth turning a cautious and informed approach   is essential That being said however as  we highlighted in our 2025 predictions   video there's still a chance this crypto bull run  could continue throughout the rest of the year Yet   understanding the deeper forces at play is crucial  because it will determine how severe and lengthy   the next bare market could become So consider  the following potential scenario If inflation   continues to cool as it has in recent months even  amidst tariff pressures and the economy slows but   avoids a full-blown recession it could create  the perfect conditions for stocks and crypto to   rally This might be fueled by some form of easing  not necessarily from the Federal Reserve directly   but perhaps from institutions like the Treasury

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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