Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Mar 22, 2025, at 13:50 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“ultimately this doesn't change the long-term picture, which remains incredibly bullish.”
Watch at 13:50What Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Means for Crypto’s Future
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$83,841

Mar 22, 2025

Price at close

$67,859

Mar 22, 2026

Return

−19.1%

S&P 500 +14.3%

BTC closed at $83,841 on Mar 22, 2025. On Mar 22, 2026 it closed at $67,859, a return of −19.1%. SPY returned +14.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Jan 2026May 2026Said on Mar 22, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Sep 2024Apr 2025Oct 2025May 2026Said on Mar 22, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$83,841Mar 22, 2025$87,516Apr 21, 2025+4.4%S&P 500 −10.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$83,841Mar 22, 2025$103,298Jun 20, 2025+23.2%S&P 500 +3.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$83,841Mar 22, 2025$117,074Sep 18, 2025+39.6%S&P 500 +15.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$83,841Mar 22, 2025$67,859Mar 22, 2026−19.1%S&P 500 +14.3%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 21, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 21, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $83,841 on Mar 22, 2025. On Apr 21, 2025 it closed at $87,516, a return of +4.4%. SPY returned −10.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $83,841 on Mar 22, 2025. On Jun 20, 2025 it closed at $103,298, a return of +23.2%. SPY returned +3.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $83,841 on Mar 22, 2025. On Sep 18, 2025 it closed at $117,074, a return of +39.6%. SPY returned +15.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $83,841 on Mar 22, 2025. On Mar 22, 2026 it closed at $67,859, a return of −19.1%. SPY returned +14.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 21, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 21, 2030.

What was said around it

announced himself as an ally of the crypto industry during his election campaign. This is likely why the charts are looking a little flat lately. However, this can also be taken as a bullish signal in itself and that's because we could have easily seen crypto prices taking a huge retracement after the White House summit as investors sold the news. Instead though, the market has shown some resilience, optimism, dare I say. The reason for this is simple. While there may be uncertainty around things like the so-called trade war fueled by Trump's tariffs, ultimately this doesn't change the long-term picture, which remains incredibly bullish. The regulatory landscape in the US is shaping up to be more pro- crypto than ever before. With crypto innovation being actively encouraged, the strategic reserve announcements also have a direct impact on BTC's future supply. Trump's no sell policy means that any future selling from the US government is theoretically gone for the foreseeable future. The reserve also adds an additional layer of legitimacy since the US endorsed BTC as a strategic asset. This could help institutions feel more comfortable investing in crypto, especially Bitcoin, as it's

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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