Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Feb 14, 2021 it closed at $48,578, a return of +32.2%. SPY returned +4.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Apr 15, 2021 it closed at $63,160, a return of +71.9%. SPY returned +11.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Jul 14, 2021 it closed at $32,820, a return of −10.7%. SPY returned +16.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Jan 15, 2022 it closed at $43,084, a return of +17.3%. SPY returned +25.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Jan 15, 2024 it closed at $42,511, a return of +15.7%. SPY returned +32.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
BTC closed at $36,742 on Jan 15, 2021. On Jan 14, 2026 it closed at $96,952, a return of +163.9%. SPY returned +96.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.