Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Nov 2, 2025, at 0:13 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“And this means that crypto prices are almost guaranteed [music] to fall to fill the CME gap left from the previous week.”
Watch at 0:13This Bitcoin Strategy Works 90% Of The Time!
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$110,541

Nov 2, 2025

Price at close

$76,816

Nov 2, 2026

Return

−30.5%

S&P 500 +11.2%

BTC closed at $110,541 on Nov 2, 2025. On Nov 2, 2026 it closed at $76,816, a return of −30.5%. SPY returned +11.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 2, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 2, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$110,541Nov 2, 2025$91,278Dec 2, 2025−17.4%S&P 500 −0.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$110,541Nov 2, 2025$78,741Jan 31, 2026−28.8%S&P 500 +1.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$110,541Nov 2, 2025$78,231May 1, 2026−29.2%S&P 500 +6.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$110,541Nov 2, 2025$76,816Nov 2, 2026−30.5%S&P 500 +11.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 1, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 1, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $110,541 on Nov 2, 2025. On Dec 2, 2025 it closed at $91,278, a return of −17.4%. SPY returned −0.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $110,541 on Nov 2, 2025. On Jan 31, 2026 it closed at $78,741, a return of −28.8%. SPY returned +1.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $110,541 on Nov 2, 2025. On May 1, 2026 it closed at $78,231, a return of −29.2%. SPY returned +6.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $110,541 on Nov 2, 2025. On Nov 2, 2026 it closed at $76,816, a return of −30.5%. SPY returned +11.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 1, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 1, 2030.

What was said around it

Never trust a weekend pump. [music] It's a popular saying in crypto and that's because when crypto pumps over the [music] weekend, it tends to create a CME gap which gets filled 65 to 90% of the time depending on your source. And this means that crypto prices are almost guaranteed [music] to fall to fill the CME gap left from the previous week. Everyone knows this, but nobody understands why it happens or when it will stop. And that's why today we're going to tell you everything you need to know about CME gaps, including when they form, why they get filled, and how an upcoming change to the CME could eliminate these gaps for good. My name is Nick, [music] and if you hold crypto, this is a video you can't afford to miss. First things first, nothing in this video is financial or investment advice. It's just educational content intended to inform you about CME gaps. If this is

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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