Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Oct 10, 2025, at 12:07 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“The most likely   scenario in our view is a continued volatile  uptrend through the end of the year and into early   2026.”
Watch at 12:07Was $126k The TOP For Bitcoin?! Here's What Comes Next!
PredictionBTCwill riseby Dec 31, 2025
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$112,775

Oct 10, 2025

Price at close

$82,988

Oct 10, 2026

Return

−26.4%

S&P 500 +20.5%

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Oct 10, 2026 it closed at $82,988, a return of −26.4%. SPY returned +20.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Oct 10, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Oct 2025Apr 2026Nov 2026Said on Oct 10, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$112,775Oct 10, 2025$104,723Nov 9, 2025−7.1%S&P 500 +2.7%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$112,775Oct 10, 2025$91,100Jan 8, 2026−19.2%S&P 500 +5.9%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$112,775Oct 10, 2025$71,070Apr 8, 2026−37.0%S&P 500 +4.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$112,775Oct 10, 2025$82,988Oct 10, 2026−26.4%S&P 500 +20.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 9, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 9, 2030——
Stated deadlineR-DIR v4Incorrect$112,775Oct 10, 2025$87,648Dec 31, 2025−22.3%S&P 500 +4.7%
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Nov 9, 2025 it closed at $104,723, a return of −7.1%. SPY returned +2.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Jan 8, 2026 it closed at $91,100, a return of −19.2%. SPY returned +5.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Apr 8, 2026 it closed at $71,070, a return of −37.0%. SPY returned +4.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Oct 10, 2026 it closed at $82,988, a return of −26.4%. SPY returned +20.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 9, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 9, 2030.

Why: Stated deadline

BTC closed at $112,775 on Oct 10, 2025. On Dec 31, 2025 it closed at $87,648, a return of −22.3%. SPY returned +4.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

What was said around it

materialize? Well,  a catastrophic 2017 style 80% crash seems to be   a low probability event. Uh, the sheer scale  of institutional inflows from ETFs provides   a significant buffer and a base of demand that  simply didn't exist in previous cycles. A moderate   correction of 15 to 25% however is a much higher  probability scenario given the extreme leverage   in the system a flush out of this magnitude could  easily be triggered by some negative macro news or   a geopolitical headline. This is something that  traders should be prepared for. The most likely   scenario in our view is a continued volatile  uptrend through the end of the year and into early   2026. So, to wrap it all up, the shocking rally to  just above $126,000 was driven by an unprecedented   wave of institutional capital via spot ETFs, which  broke the established pattern of sell-offs at new   highs. While short-term technical indicators are  flashing signs of caution, the underlying onchain   fundamentals are incredibly strong. The supply  on exchanges is at a six-year low, and crucial   indicators like the MVRVZ score suggest we are  far from a euphoric market top. Wall Street is   now targeting the $150 to $200,000 range

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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