Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Aug 1, 2022, at 4:31 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“so the market might move a bit higher but there appears to be bearish Divergence between btc's price and the RSI this means a reversal could be coming sooner rather than later”
Watch at 4:31Crypto News: ETH Merge, SOL, BTC, SEC Lawsuit, Macro & More!!
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$23,268

Aug 1, 2022

Price at close

$29,706

Aug 1, 2023

Return

+27.7%

S&P 500 +12.9%

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Aug 1, 2023 it closed at $29,706, a return of +27.7%. SPY returned +12.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Feb 2022Jun 2022Oct 2022Jan 2023Jun 2023Sep 2023Said on Aug 1, 2022
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Feb 2022Aug 2022Mar 2023Sep 2023Said on Aug 1, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$23,268Aug 1, 2022$20,050Aug 31, 2022−13.8%S&P 500 −3.8%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$23,268Aug 1, 2022$20,627Oct 30, 2022−11.3%S&P 500 −4.9%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$23,268Aug 1, 2022$23,023Jan 28, 2023−1.1%S&P 500 −0.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$23,268Aug 1, 2022$29,706Aug 1, 2023+27.7%S&P 500 +12.9%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$23,268Aug 1, 2022$115,764Jul 31, 2025+397.5%S&P 500 +60.6%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 31, 2027——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Aug 31, 2022 it closed at $20,050, a return of −13.8%. SPY returned −3.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Oct 30, 2022 it closed at $20,627, a return of −11.3%. SPY returned −4.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Jan 28, 2023 it closed at $23,023, a return of −1.1%. SPY returned −0.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Aug 1, 2023 it closed at $29,706, a return of +27.7%. SPY returned +12.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $23,268 on Aug 1, 2022. On Jul 31, 2025 it closed at $115,764, a return of +397.5%. SPY returned +60.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 31, 2027.

What was said around it

we live in isn't it now as amazing as all the green we've seen has been many crypto coins and tokens are starting to show signs of overheating in the short term and this is starting to be picked up by media Outlets as well if you watched our video about how to spot the top you'll know that a local top can be spotted by using the Bollinger band indicator the RSI indicator and the macd indicator slapping on these three indicators suggests that BTC is approaching the upper bound of its short-term price action so the market might move a bit higher but there appears to be bearish Divergence between btc's price and the RSI this means a reversal could be coming sooner rather than later it's also important to remind everyone that we are still in a bear market and none of the macro factors that pulled the crypto Market down in the first place have been resolved if anything they've just been getting worse that said the recovery rally could last for another few weeks and that is for one reason ethereum last week ethereum developers posted what may be one of the most important updates for the project to date in the blog post titled quote Gurley Prater merge announcement they explained that the

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