Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $102,972 on May 9, 2025. On Jun 8, 2025 it closed at $105,734, a return of +2.7%. SPY returned +6.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $102,972 on May 9, 2025. On Aug 7, 2025 it closed at $117,472, a return of +14.1%. SPY returned +12.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $102,972 on May 9, 2025. On Nov 5, 2025 it closed at $103,885, a return of +0.9%. SPY returned +20.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $102,972 on May 9, 2025. On May 9, 2026 it closed at $80,678, a return of −21.7%. SPY returned +32.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes May 8, 2028.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes May 8, 2030.