Coin Bureau, relaying another source: BTC — an event

Said on May 12, 2026, at 5:13 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“Poly Market   has now repriced the probability that Strategy  sells Bitcoin before December 31st, 2026 from   approximately 10% on April 27th to 48% by May 6th.”
Watch at 5:13Saylor Sells Out: Bitcoin Holders Are NOT Safe
PredictionBTC— an event
What happened
Relayed

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000$90,000$100,000Nov 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Oct 2026Jan 2027May 2027Said on May 12, 2026
$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000$90,000$100,000Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026May 2027Said on May 12, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Somebody else's forecast — not scored

What was said around it

preferred stack creates an annual dividend   and debt service obligation of approximately  $1.5 billion. And on the May 5th call,   Strategy disclosed that the USD reserves currently  allocated to those obligations cover roughly 18   months of payments. That is the entire runway  before something has to give. Either the equity   flywheel reignites or the preferred dividends stop  or the company sells Bitcoin to plug the gap. And   on the same call, Sailor told the market which of  those three options was on the table. Poly Market   has now repriced the probability that Strategy  sells Bitcoin before December 31st, 2026 from   approximately 10% on April 27th to 48% by May 6th.  That is a 38 percentage point repricing inside of   9 days triggered by a single sentence on a single  conference call. For strategy, its accumulation   model depends on one variable, the premium of  MSTR's market cap to the value of its Bitcoin   holdings, a ratio called MNAV. When MNAV exceeds  one, the strategy can issue equity at a premium,   deploy the proceeds to acquire additional Bitcoin  and thereby increase Bitcoin per share. When MNAV   is below one, the same equity issuance becomes  mechanically dilutive.

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all