Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Nov 21, 2024, at 17:06 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“there's no denying he's going to be damn bullish for the crypto market”
Watch at 17:06Trumponomics Explained: What Trump’s Return Means for the Economy
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$98,317

Nov 21, 2024

Price at close

$85,129

Nov 21, 2025

Return

−13.4%

S&P 500 +12.4%

BTC closed at $98,317 on Nov 21, 2024. On Nov 21, 2025 it closed at $85,129, a return of −13.4%. SPY returned +12.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2024Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Jan 2026Said on Nov 21, 2024
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2024Dec 2024Jul 2025Jan 2026Said on Nov 21, 2024

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$98,317Nov 21, 2024$97,292Dec 21, 2024−1.0%S&P 500 −0.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$98,317Nov 21, 2024$96,644Feb 19, 2025−1.7%S&P 500 +3.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$98,317Nov 21, 2024$106,850May 20, 2025+8.7%S&P 500 +0.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$98,317Nov 21, 2024$85,129Nov 21, 2025−13.4%S&P 500 +12.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 21, 2027——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 20, 2029——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $98,317 on Nov 21, 2024. On Dec 21, 2024 it closed at $97,292, a return of −1.0%. SPY returned −0.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $98,317 on Nov 21, 2024. On Feb 19, 2025 it closed at $96,644, a return of −1.7%. SPY returned +3.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $98,317 on Nov 21, 2024. On May 20, 2025 it closed at $106,850, a return of +8.7%. SPY returned +0.5% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $98,317 on Nov 21, 2024. On Nov 21, 2025 it closed at $85,129, a return of −13.4%. SPY returned +12.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 21, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 20, 2029.

What was said around it

high note let's not forget the crypto market and America's crypto economy the Trump Administration has yet to be fully formed but it has already decided to consult with Charles hoskinson on the future of crypto policy in the US which is bullish and thenen some it's pretty hard to wrap your head around the fact that not only is the war on crypto finally over but the federal government appears to be becoming a crypto activist if you look too closely at Trump's proposals for the broader economy it's difficult to Come Away with an overwhelmingly optimistic take but there's no denying he's going to be damn bullish for the crypto market so we'll keep our eyes trained on the new Administration as it takes shape and makes its mark on the US economy and Beyond but what do you make of trumponomics will the economy sink swim or shoot To The Moon let us know your thoughts in the comments and if you learn something new today don't forget to drop a like and impose your thumb on the Subscribe button and notification Bell that way you'll never miss another upload as always thank you for watching and I'll see you next time this is Guy signing off [Music]

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