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Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Oct 1, 2022, at 21:24 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“this could make the current crypto bear Market worse and create headwinds for the crypto bull market when it returns”
Watch at 21:24LEAKED EU Crypto Bill! Here's What's Coming To Europe!!
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$19,311

Oct 1, 2022

Price at close

$27,993

Oct 1, 2023

Return

+45.0%

S&P 500 +18.4%

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Oct 1, 2023 it closed at $27,993, a return of +45.0%. SPY returned +18.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Apr 2022Aug 2022Dec 2022Apr 2023Aug 2023Nov 2023Said on Oct 1, 2022
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Apr 2022Oct 2022May 2023Nov 2023Said on Oct 1, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,311Oct 1, 2022$20,491Oct 31, 2022+6.1%S&P 500 +5.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$19,311Oct 1, 2022$16,607Dec 30, 2022−14.0%S&P 500 +4.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,311Oct 1, 2022$28,029Mar 30, 2023+45.1%S&P 500 +11.0%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,311Oct 1, 2022$27,993Oct 1, 2023+45.0%S&P 500 +18.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,311Oct 1, 2022$114,049Sep 30, 2025+490.6%S&P 500 +89.3%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 30, 2027——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Oct 31, 2022 it closed at $20,491, a return of +6.1%. SPY returned +5.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Dec 30, 2022 it closed at $16,607, a return of −14.0%. SPY returned +4.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Mar 30, 2023 it closed at $28,029, a return of +45.1%. SPY returned +11.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Oct 1, 2023 it closed at $27,993, a return of +45.0%. SPY returned +18.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $19,311 on Oct 1, 2022. On Sep 30, 2025 it closed at $114,049, a return of +490.6%. SPY returned +89.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 30, 2027.

What was said around it

something Patrick is also concerned about this is especially true of any crypto projects trying to create decentralized stable coins which will be subject to a laundry list of limitations as Arts it might also be tricky for D5 protocols to get off the ground as their success will depend on whether Regulators classify them as decentralized or not now all in all I agree with Patrick that Mica is mostly reasonable I also agree with his perspective that crypto regulation in the United States will not be nearly as reasonable as it is in Europe this could make the current crypto bear Market worse and create headwinds for the crypto bull market when it returns you can learn more about the upcoming crypto Crackdown in the United States using of course the link in the description and that's all for today's video about Europe's upcoming crypto regulations if you found it informative be sure to smash that like button to let me know remember to subscribe to the channel and ping that notification Bell so you don't miss the next video in the meantime you can check out coin Bureau clips for live streams and emergency crypto updates and tune in to the coin Bureau podcast for Quality crypto discussions

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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