Coin Bureau: BTC will fall

Said on Jan 6, 2026, at 19:13 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“After that  small rally though, the crypto market is likely   to fall as liquidity is drained due to the debt  refinancing wall, which I'll remind you can be   tracked by looking at what the DXY is doing.”
Watch at 19:13The Truth About The Gold-Bitcoin Rotation
PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 180 days
Correct so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$93,748

Jan 6, 2026

Price at close

$63,650

Jul 5, 2026

Return

−32.1%

S&P 500 +8.2%

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Oct 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026Jan 2027Said on Jan 6, 2026

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$62,910Feb 5, 2026−32.9%S&P 500 −2.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$68,854Apr 6, 2026−26.6%S&P 500 −4.5%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$93,748Jan 6, 2026$63,650Jul 5, 2026−32.1%S&P 500 +8.2%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 6, 2027——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2029——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jan 5, 2031——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Feb 5, 2026 it closed at $62,910, a return of −32.9%. SPY returned −2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Apr 6, 2026 it closed at $68,854, a return of −26.6%. SPY returned −4.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $93,748 on Jan 6, 2026. On Jul 5, 2026 it closed at $63,650, a return of −32.1%. SPY returned +8.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 6, 2027.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2029.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 5, 2031.

What was said around it

lags liquidity by  3 months, you understand there could be a small   rally sometime in Q1 2026. And when you combine  this increase in liquidity with the potential   approval of the Clarity Act, it means that  attention and capital could rotate into the crypto   market. The approval of the Genius Act in 2025 was  essentially the only bullish crypto catalyst that   caused prices to rise. With a bit of luck, we'll  see history repeat with the Clarity Act having   a positive effect on crypto prices. After that  small rally though, the crypto market is likely   to fall as liquidity is drained due to the debt  refinancing wall, which I'll remind you can be   tracked by looking at what the DXY is doing. The  more the DXY rises, the closer we're getting to   that debt refinancing wall and the subsequent  liquidity drain. And I'll repeat that this   liquidity drain will eventually be followed by a  liquidity injection to help with the refinancing.   The only problem is that this liquidity injection  probably won't happen until the markets or the   economy deteriorate to the point that policymakers  start to panic. That's exactly why things like QE   have historically corresponded to market crashes

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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