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Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Oct 12, 2025, at 11:11 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“The bull market is not   over, folks. But the rules of the game have  changed.”
Watch at 11:1119B Crypto Crash: Who Is Behind This?
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto market, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$114,959

Oct 12, 2025

Price at close

$81,850

Oct 12, 2026

Return

−28.8%

S&P 500 +18.6%

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Oct 12, 2026 it closed at $81,850, a return of −28.8%. SPY returned +18.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Mar 2026Jul 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 12, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Apr 2025Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026Said on Oct 12, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$103,059Nov 11, 2025−10.4%S&P 500 +3.0%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$90,505Jan 10, 2026−21.3%S&P 500 +5.0%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$72,963Apr 10, 2026−36.5%S&P 500 +3.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$114,959Oct 12, 2025$81,850Oct 12, 2026−28.8%S&P 500 +18.6%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 11, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Oct 11, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Nov 11, 2025 it closed at $103,059, a return of −10.4%. SPY returned +3.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Jan 10, 2026 it closed at $90,505, a return of −21.3%. SPY returned +5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Apr 10, 2026 it closed at $72,963, a return of −36.5%. SPY returned +3.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $114,959 on Oct 12, 2025. On Oct 12, 2026 it closed at $81,850, a return of −28.8%. SPY returned +18.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 11, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Oct 11, 2030.

What was said around it

history. This created the largest liquidation  event ever recorded, wiping out over $19 billion   and affecting more than 1.6 million traders. While  the evidence of insider trading is highly suspect,   it remains unproven. The good news is that the  structural bull market drivers remain intact.   Institutional players bought the dip and the crash  served as a much needed leverage reset. However,   the recovery is now hostage to the whims of  geopolitical negotiations. The path forward   will be volatile, unpredictable, and entirely  dependent on headlines. The bull market is not   over, folks. But the rules of the game have  changed. The rules have changed. And if you   want to learn more about how market manipulation  can cause events like this, then you can watch   our video on that right over here. And if you  want to understand the crypto market cycles   that could still propel us higher, then check out  our deep dive on that right over here. As always,   thank you all for watching and I'll see  you again soon. This is Guy signing off.

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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