Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On Dec 14, 2022 it closed at $17,803, a return of +7.1%. SPY returned +1.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On Feb 12, 2023 it closed at $21,784, a return of +31.1%. SPY returned +3.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On May 13, 2023 it closed at $26,775, a return of +61.1%. SPY returned +5.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On Nov 14, 2023 it closed at $35,551, a return of +113.9%. SPY returned +15.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On Nov 13, 2025 it closed at $99,692, a return of +499.9%. SPY returned +77.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 13, 2027.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $16,619 on Nov 14, 2022. On Feb 12, 2023 it closed at $21,784, a return of +31.1%. SPY returned +3.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.