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Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Apr 9, 2025, at 8:29 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“a massive tax cut on crypto can   only encourage more people to buy more of it”
Watch at 8:29Crypto Comeback in Asia: Why Japan & Korea Could Fuel the Next Bull Run
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

Recorded as crypto, a word for a group: this call is judged on BTC, the stand-in the method assigns to it.

What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$82,615

Apr 9, 2025

Price at close

$71,788

Apr 9, 2026

Return

−13.1%

S&P 500 +25.4%

BTC closed at $82,615 on Apr 9, 2025. On Apr 9, 2026 it closed at $71,788, a return of −13.1%. SPY returned +25.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Oct 2024Feb 2025Jun 2025Oct 2025Feb 2026Jun 2026Said on Apr 9, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000Oct 2024Apr 2025Nov 2025Jun 2026Said on Apr 9, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$82,615Apr 9, 2025$102,972May 9, 2025+24.6%S&P 500 +2.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$82,615Apr 9, 2025$108,923Jul 8, 2025+31.8%S&P 500 +13.4%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$82,615Apr 9, 2025$124,659Oct 6, 2025+50.9%S&P 500 +23.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$82,615Apr 9, 2025$71,788Apr 9, 2026−13.1%S&P 500 +25.4%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Apr 8, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Apr 8, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $82,615 on Apr 9, 2025. On May 9, 2025 it closed at $102,972, a return of +24.6%. SPY returned +2.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $82,615 on Apr 9, 2025. On Jul 8, 2025 it closed at $108,923, a return of +31.8%. SPY returned +13.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $82,615 on Apr 9, 2025. On Oct 6, 2025 it closed at $124,659, a return of +50.9%. SPY returned +23.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $82,615 on Apr 9, 2025. On Apr 9, 2026 it closed at $71,788, a return of −13.1%. SPY returned +25.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 8, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 8, 2030.

What was said around it

10 to 20 trillion yen would  return to Japan's crypto markets on the higher end   that's 130 billion US suggesting that we might see  some unfathomable inflows coming from Japan in the   coming years now unfortunately the Bitcoin CEO did  not mention where he got this number from so it   could be wildly inaccurate however it is safe to  say that a tax cut of this magnitude would be very   positive for crypto prices at least the prices of  cryptos offered in Japan unlike the double-edged   sword of ETFs which can produce outflows just as  easily as inflows a massive tax cut on crypto can   only encourage more people to buy more of it and  it should be even more exciting if you subscribe   to the theory that Bitcoin is the quintessential  debasement trade meaning that the more that fiat   currency loses value due to money printing  the more valuable BTC becomes now the reason I   mention this is because Japan is further down this  particular road than any other country and has one   of the most cooked of all major world currencies  and if you're not sure why then check out our   report on the yen carry trade for the background  on all of this however there has been some   confusion about

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Coin BureauBTCwill rise

“If you're looking for a catalyst for the crypto market to rally on, this is it.”

Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

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“This is the foundation for a steady bull market as regulatory certainty finally arrives and the”

Jul 21, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.1%

Graham Stephana call with no clear direction

“I actually don't think now is the worst time to buy, especially with sentiment being so negative right now.”

Jun 29, 2026

Not scored

Coin Bureau, relaying another source: BTC will rise

“a striking number of independent analysts converge on the same window, Q4 2026 as the highest probability bottom.”

Jun 29, 2026

Relayed

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“So today, I'm going to break down exactly what the   CFTC approved, walk through why this is generally  bullish for crypto and for hype in the short term,   and lay out why this same decision is actually  a warning shot aimed straight at Hyperlquid.”

Jun 23, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+38.1%

Coin Bureau, relaying Alex Thorn: BTC will fall to $40,000

“Galaxy's Alex Thorn even floats a panic scenario down at 40 to $46,000.”

Jun 21, 2026

Relayed