Coin Bureau: BTC will rise

Said on Nov 12, 2025, at 10:01 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“And this is a   profoundly bullish setup that could realistically  propel the price back towards the all-time high by   year end.”
Watch at 10:01850B Crypto Liquidity Surge INCOMING!!
PredictionBTCwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 180 days
Incorrect so far · 180 days

Entry price (first close after the video)

$101,654

Nov 12, 2025

Price at close

$81,746

May 11, 2026

Return

−19.6%

S&P 500 +8.8%

BTC closed at $101,654 on Nov 12, 2025. On May 11, 2026 it closed at $81,746, a return of −19.6%. SPY returned +8.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Pending

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Jul 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 12, 2025
$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000$140,000May 2025Nov 2025May 2026Nov 2026Said on Nov 12, 2025

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$101,654Nov 12, 2025$90,268Dec 12, 2025−11.2%S&P 500 −0.2%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$101,654Nov 12, 2025$68,841Feb 10, 2026−32.3%S&P 500 +1.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$101,654Nov 12, 2025$81,746May 11, 2026−19.6%S&P 500 +8.8%
1 yearR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 12, 2026——
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 11, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Nov 11, 2030——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $101,654 on Nov 12, 2025. On Dec 12, 2025 it closed at $90,268, a return of −11.2%. SPY returned −0.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $101,654 on Nov 12, 2025. On Feb 10, 2026 it closed at $68,841, a return of −32.3%. SPY returned +1.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $101,654 on Nov 12, 2025. On May 11, 2026 it closed at $81,746, a return of −19.6%. SPY returned +8.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 12, 2026.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 11, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Nov 11, 2030.

What was said around it

most  concerning bearish data point right now. Other   risks, meanwhile, include the possibility of ETF  outflows returning, a hawkish surprise from the   Fed if they decide not to cut rates in December,  and the seasonal pressure of tax loss harvesting   towards the end of the year. So, where does this  leave us? Well, the truth is Bitcoin is at a   critical crossroads. On the one hand, you have a  market that just survived a brutal technical test   backed by a powerful once in a cycle liquidity  injection from the US Treasury. And this is a   profoundly bullish setup that could realistically  propel the price back towards the all-time high by   year end. On the other hand, you have concerning  signs of fatigue from long-term holders,   suggesting the underlying market structure  isn't as strong as it was a few months ago. The   persistent selling from these early adopters  could absorb much of the new liquidity and   keep the price rangebound. So, is the dream of a  bullish end to 2025 dead? Absolutely not. But it's   no longer a simple game of hype and narrative. The  resolution of the government shutdown provides the   fuel, but the market engine is showing some signs  of wear.

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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