Why: 30 days
BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On May 18, 2024 it closed at $66,915, a return of +5.4%. SPY returned +6.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Jul 17, 2024 it closed at $64,088, a return of +1.0%. SPY returned +11.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Oct 15, 2024 it closed at $67,074, a return of +5.7%. SPY returned +16.8% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Apr 18, 2025 it closed at $84,475, a return of +33.1%. SPY returned +6.7% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 18, 2027.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Apr 17, 2029.
Why: Stated deadline
BTC closed at $63,470 on Apr 18, 2024. On Apr 30, 2025 it closed at $94,172, a return of +48.4%. SPY returned +12.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.