Lời nói
“Economist Luke Gromen thinks that we could see inflation that makes 2021 look mild, double digits, maybe worse.”Xem tại 9:40They're Using This War To 'Replace The Dollar'
Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời Luke Gromen: Lạm phát sẽ lên 10%
Được nói ngày 07/04/2026, tại 9:40 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Lạm phátKhung kiểm chứngMục tiêu được nêuSuy thoái (NBER)
Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI): Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDẫn theo Luke Gromen — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
a recession. And because of that negative 87% net international investment position, this recession triggers a debt-death spiral that sort of takes the rest of the world with us. Not good. Outcome number two, print money at the same time oil prices are going up. The Fed steps in, it does what it does, quantitative easing, it buys treasuries, it caps yields, and it does what's called yield curve control. It saves the bond market. But, you're also putting liquidity into an economy that's experiencing an oil shock, and that causes inflation. Economist Luke Gromen thinks that we could see inflation that makes 2021 look mild, double digits, maybe worse. Outcome number three, walk away from Iran. Just announce, "Okay, we won. We're leaving now, right? We did it." Which might sound like a good option, except here's what's going to happen if the US picks option three. The rest of the world watches America start a war. It watches the US fail to reopen this major shipping lane. And the world watches as the US retreats. Okay, why is that bad? It's bad because if the US picks option three, the world then realizes that the US is not as powerful as it used to be, and it doesn't have the influence
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lạm phát
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: một nhận định không rõ hướng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Dẫn lời
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ lên 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Dẫn lời
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“First, taxes are going up.”
01/06/2026
Không chấm
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
18/05/2026
Không chấm
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Goldman Sachs: Lạm phát — quanh mức 1%
“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”
20/04/2026
Dẫn lời
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời Federal Reserve: Lạm phát sẽ xuống 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
09/04/2026
Dẫn lời