“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Goldman Sachs: Lạm phát — quanh mức 1%
Được nói ngày 20/04/2026, tại 3:40 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI): Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDẫn theo Goldman Sachs — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
result, energy prices across the board jumped over 10% with gasoline rising over 20% in a single month. In fact, this one category pushed inflation back up to 3.3%. On top of that, housing also makes up 35% of the inflation report. And even as everything else has started to come down, housing is not. So you have some of the biggest categories out there, energy and housing, both going up at the exact same time. The second, we also have tariff inflation. Even though this seems like a problem of 2025, because no one talks about it anymore, the reality is Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026. Finally, third, we have the secret hotspot that's quietly getting worse, and that would be the frozen labor market. See, here's where things are getting unusual. Even though the 2026 jobs market looks okay on paper, layoffs are relatively low and unemployment's only at 4.4%. Beneath the surface, things are starting to crack. Like in February alone, the economy actually lost about 92,000 jobs, one of the weakest prints in years. On top of that, fewer people are quitting their jobs, but not because things are great. It's because they're afraid they wouldn't
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lạm phát
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: một nhận định không rõ hướng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ lên 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“First, taxes are going up.”
01/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
18/05/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời Federal Reserve: Lạm phát sẽ xuống 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
09/04/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời OECD: Lạm phát sẽ lên 4.2%
“or OECD recently published an interim report projecting American headline inflation to reach 4.2% by the end of 2026.”
09/04/2026