“the market right now believes that inflation is going to go away very soon in that the FED is bluffing about increasing those interest rates too high for too long”Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 17/02/2023, tại 7:14 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI): Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
they've been around forever so what's going on it makes perfect sense if you think about it because dividend stocks are not paying very much right now and because they're not you're still risking money with dividend stocks so you would rather put your money somewhere with treasury bonds where you can get a guaranteed 4.5 percent without ever risking your money but that still doesn't explain why it's the riskier tech stuff that's not profitable that's doing even better and the reason why it's doing better is because the market right now believes that inflation is going to go away very soon in that the FED is bluffing about increasing those interest rates too high for too long and that's the only reason why this is happening the market is priced in that assumption now I have no idea whether or not that's going to happen so for now I'm still continuing to invest the same way by dollar cost averaging into vti and reinvesting all of my dividend income back into itself but if you're someone who's a saver or if you want to look into real estate then here's what's going on the good news is that the yearly apy on savings accounts is going up which is nice but if you're looking into real estate
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lạm phát
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: một nhận định không rõ hướng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ lên 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“First, taxes are going up.”
01/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
18/05/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Goldman Sachs: Lạm phát — quanh mức 1%
“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”
20/04/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời Federal Reserve: Lạm phát sẽ xuống 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
09/04/2026