“Jerome said that the FED expects unemployment to hit 4.1 percent this year and 4.5 next year a change which historically means a recession”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp sẽ lên 4.1%
Được nói ngày 21/06/2023, tại 6:51 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp: Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
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Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
takes some time for these rate hikes to be felt by the economy as such the FED decided not to raise interest rates for now in the same breath however Jerome pointed to the SCP and said that most fed officials believe that more rate hikes will be appropriate later this year he also added that the FED will continue to draw down its balance sheet at de facto rate hike Jerome went on to say that the FED expects the economy to struggle because of higher interest rates and that the labor market remains strong despite some softening Jerome said that the FED expects unemployment to hit 4.1 percent this year and 4.5 next year a change which historically means a recession not surprisingly Jerome cited the CPI for CPI pce and core pce figures as the reasons why the FED needs to keep raising interest rates they are all above the 2 Target the Silver Lining Jerome said is that inflation expectations remain quote well anchored you can thank the CPI for that after reiterating that it will take time for rate hikes to affect the economy Jerome said that it's still unclear whether credit tightening will affect the fed's decisions for those unfamiliar it's believed that banks will reduce their lending because
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Thất nghiệp
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
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“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”
27/02/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp — không nêu hướng
“and then we've also got the unemployment numbers at 4.2% expected versus 4.2 to previous okay okay”
02/06/2025
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“it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target”
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Coin BureauThất nghiệpsẽ giảm
“this means that unemployment could actually start falling again in the not to distant future”
25/09/2024 · sau 1 năm
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“it looks like the decline in jobs is going to keep pushing unemployment higher and trigger a recession at least according to the S”
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