“it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp sẽ xuống 4%
Được nói ngày 25/09/2024, tại 7:13 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp: Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
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Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
long-term bond prices to fall and long-term interest rates to rise sound familiar we'll come back to that later though now Jerome went on to give an overview of all the key data points around the economy and inflation as well as where the FED sees them all heading this information is provided in the fed's summary of economic projections or sep a document that it updates at every other fed meeting if you've looked at the most recent SCP you'll know that there's not much to write home about there the FED expects GDP to stay steady at around 2% in the coming years it expects unemployment to rise slightly before falling back to its 4% Target and for inflation to continue falling until it hits its 2% Target the only prediction worth expanding on is the fed's projection for its future interest r rates most fed officials see interest rates falling down to around 3% in the coming years and staying at those levels in the long term this is significant as it suggests that we are now in a higher interest rate environment in case you missed it interest rates had been practically at zero since 2008 now after his review of the SCP Jerome underscored the fact that the FED is focused on the unemployment side
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Thất nghiệp
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“rising interest rates at the same time that the labor market is cooling usually results in hiring freezes.”
10/08/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp sẽ lên 10%
“Apparently, the stock market is going to peak in October of 2026. And then shortly after that, we're going to see a 40% decline. Unemployment is going to rise above 10%.”
27/02/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp — không nêu hướng
“and then we've also got the unemployment numbers at 4.2% expected versus 4.2 to previous okay okay”
02/06/2025
Coin BureauThất nghiệpsẽ giảm
“this means that unemployment could actually start falling again in the not to distant future”
25/09/2024 · sau 1 năm
Coin BureauThất nghiệpsẽ tăng
“it looks like the decline in jobs is going to keep pushing unemployment higher and trigger a recession at least according to the S”
11/08/2024 · sau 1 năm
Coin BureauThất nghiệpsẽ lên 4%
“this means that in a few months time unemployment could be well above the first four percent Target”
04/09/2023 · sau 1 năm