“based on what I've heard on the many macro podcasts I listen to a recession could start as soon as this summer or as late as next spring”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Suy thoái sẽ xảy ra
Được nói ngày 02/05/2023, tại 19:03 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
scheme to work if this credit contraction continues the U.S economy will follow suit and this will eventually be reflected in the markets note that this is exactly what the FED wants because it will bring inflation down the Practical effect of this credit contraction will be a recession which many analysts myself included have been calling for since last summer so far no recession but these things do take time interest rate hikes can take over a year to affect the economy the credit crunch also takes months and it's only just begun based on what I've heard on the many macro podcasts I listen to a recession could start as soon as this summer or as late as next spring some macro analysts also believe the recession won't happen for technical reasons for example unemployment could remain low in stark contrast to real recessions now I can't say I know which way it'll go but I reckon that markets will struggle even without a recession if this credit contraction continues for the time being it looks like it will but this doesn't mean the FED won't be injecting liquidity Elsewhere for other reasons if it does well get ready for a market rally and that is all for today's video if you found it informative
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Suy thoái
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“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
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“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
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24/12/2025
Coin Bureaumột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
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“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
02/09/2025
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“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
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