“there seems to be near universal agreement that we are heading into a bad recession over the next year”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Suy thoái sẽ xảy ra
Được nói ngày 05/07/2022, tại 17:42 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ báo suy thoái theo mốc của NBER: Ngân hàng Dự trữ Liên bang St. Louis, qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
many of the same inflation drivers then supply shocks appear to be playing out right now the only difference is that back then inflation was only brought under control when paul volcker took the fed's fund rate to nearly 20 today it's at 1.5 percent and things are already beginning to break time to start wrapping this up now i don't mean to be a gloomy guy but the data doesn't lie the us is probably in a recession and we don't need some economic agency to confirm it but let's assume even if we somehow manage to avoid the negative growth for q2 there seems to be near universal agreement that we are heading into a bad recession over the next year the fed is trying to achieve the soft landing of a plane that's being built as it falls from the sky if they're lucky they can perhaps achieve a hard landing but a crash landing is an equally likely scenario now although this analysis was done on the u.s economy other countries are not looking too good either in fact in the case of europe they're perhaps in an even worse position to ride out this economic storm that's because europe is on the brink of an energy crisis that could see the rationing of gas and power in the next few months they're
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Suy thoái
Andrei JikhSuy thoáisẽ xảy ra
“And throughout history, exploding oil prices have almost always come before a major recession.”
16/03/2026 · sau 1 năm
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Suy thoái sẽ tăng
“That's why in Q2 of 2027 in this scenario, we are in a full-blown recession.”
27/02/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời JPMorgan: một nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“JPMorgan's December outlook assigns a 35% probability to a US and global recession hitting in 2026.”
24/12/2025
Coin Bureaumột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“This suggests that more states could soon face economic turmoil and this could in turn tip the US into a recession at the federal level.”
11/11/2025
Andrei Jikhmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“The next recession won't be coming from student loans or subprime mortgages. Now, we know the next recession will come from subprime cheeseburger loans.”
02/09/2025
Coin BureauSuy thoáisẽ giảm
“The good news in this case is that it means liquidity is likely to continue rising indefinitely and that it will be very hard to have a recession.”
02/08/2025 · sau 1 năm