“they're confident that inflation of all kinds will come down by 2025.”Coin Bureau, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ giảm
Được nói ngày 11/01/2023, tại 9:06 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI): Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
Kết quả ở từng khung thời gian
Hiển thị đủ mọi khung, không chọn khung có lợiDự báo của người khác — không chấm
Ngữ cảnh xung quanh
believe this phenomenon is why this recession will be different people may not lose their jobs on mass because there's no one else to hire as far as fed officials are concerned however all this means is that they will need to keep interest rates higher for longer to crush inflation this is why they simultaneously project a more gradual increase in the unemployment rate which could last until as late as 2025. that would be a long recession now the Silver Lining is that the FED also projects that housing costs will finally start to come down later this year and they're confident that inflation of all kinds will come down by 2025. this of course assumes that nothing in the financial system will break but it appears they didn't dwell on this possibility instead they focused on the fact that inflation is more likely to rise than fall in the short term and how the fed's response is likely to result in a recession in the U.S later this year this has been the consensus view for months now the only question is how deep this recession will be and how long it will last in the fifth section of the minutes fed officials return to the topic of current economic conditions fed officials seem to imply
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lạm phát
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: một nhận định không rõ hướng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ lên 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“First, taxes are going up.”
01/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
18/05/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Goldman Sachs: Lạm phát — quanh mức 1%
“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”
20/04/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời Federal Reserve: Lạm phát sẽ xuống 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
09/04/2026