Andrei Jikh, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Thất nghiệp sẽ lên 4.5%

Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng

Tỷ lệ thất nghiệp: Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.

Ngữ cảnh xung quanh

will fall between 5 and 5.25 percent but Vanguard says the increase won't matter as much as the peak and how long it's going to stay there now according to Vanguard they predict that the FED will Target this specific range for the rest of the year which is hopefully good news for the stock market because we don't want the FED to raise their rates even more Vanguard also believes inflation is going to fall below three percent at the end of 2023 which is good news but it's still a little bit higher than what the FED wants to see they also think unemployment is going to go up to between 4.5 and 5 right now it's at 3.5 percent which means more layoffs are probably coming and the estimate the odds of a recession this year at 90 percent and remember a recession is anytime you get two negative quarter gdps back to back doesn't matter how Negative they are just negative overall please remember that this is vanguard's prediction based on pretty complex models but that does not mean they're going to be right 10 years from now we could find out they are extremely accurate or extremely wrong either either way the very least you saw a bad card trick and you learned about the birthday Paradox as always

Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.