“On top of that, they're predicting that inflation will remain above 2% throughout 2028, suggesting that their plan is overall to cut aggressively in 2025 and then take it a bit slower throughout the next year, depending on the data.”Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát — quanh mức 2%
Được nói ngày 17/09/2025, tại 12:58 trong video.
Khung thời gian được kiểm chứng
Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI): Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS), qua FRED, số liệu công bố lần đầu. Vùng tô là khung thời gian được kiểm chứng; vùng xám là các giai đoạn suy thoái.
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inflation. And that's why they're taking it meeting by meeting to determine what's going to happen next. However, in terms of where they expect the market to move over the next few years, today is where they release what's called their summary of economic projections, which details exactly what they anticipate to happen in the near future. And now the Federal Reserve has made it clear that they expect a cut by another 50 basis points by the end of the year due to growing job uncertainty. On top of that, they're predicting that inflation will remain above 2% throughout 2028, suggesting that their plan is overall to cut aggressively in 2025 and then take it a bit slower throughout the next year, depending on the data. Beyond that, Jerome Powell went on to say that today was a riskmanagement cut and that job growth was below break even. So, the market currently believes that the Fed might be too late to cut interest rates, which is why everything has begun selling off towards the end of the day. So, overall, in terms of what I think, look, the jobs numbers were pretty bad. And it's not surprising the Federal Reserve is stepping in to rescue the market, even though they're doing that at a time when
Lời của người nói được giữ nguyên văn và không bao giờ được dịch. Đường dẫn mở đúng giây đó trong video.
Thêm nhận định về Lạm phát
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: một nhận định không rõ hướng
“they're now expecting interest rates to increase a little bit in 2026 before falling back down again in 2027 and once again in 2028. They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời nguồn khác: Lạm phát sẽ lên 3.6%
“They also expect inflation to remain elevated at 3.6% throughout 2026 before eventually falling back down again.”
17/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định đang được xem xét lại
“First, taxes are going up.”
01/06/2026
Graham Stephanmột nhận định không rõ hướng
“First, we could see inflation slowly subside and yields come back down on their own, or yields keep going up and eventually the Federal Reserve has to step in.”
18/05/2026
Graham Stephan, dẫn lời Goldman Sachs: Lạm phát — quanh mức 1%
“Goldman Sachs estimates that this would still push inflation up by 1% through mid-2026.”
20/04/2026
Coin Bureau, dẫn lời Federal Reserve: Lạm phát sẽ xuống 2.7%
“the Federal Reserve's recent summary of economic projections insists that inflation will magically settle at just 2.7% over the exact same time frame.”
09/04/2026