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Coin Bureau: LUNA will fall

Said on May 30, 2022, at 3:35 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“as such Luna is likely to see a lot of cell pressure as its Supply gradually unlocks and it's not currently clear whether there will be enough demand to keep Luna's price from falling below its five dollar support”
Watch at 3:35Crypto News: ETH Reorg, LUNA 2.0, USDT Rotation & MORE!!
PredictionLUNAwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$8.87

May 31, 2022

Price at close

$0.8628

May 30, 2023

Return

−90.3%

Bitcoin −12.7%

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On May 30, 2023 it closed at $0.8628, a return of −90.3%. BTC returned −12.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Correct

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

Details and evidenceReport a problem

The window it was checked over

LUNAWindow checked
$-50$0$50$100$150Dec 2021Apr 2022Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Said on May 30, 2022
$-50$0$50$100$150Dec 2021Jun 2022Jan 2023Jul 2023Said on May 30, 2022

LUNA closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Correct$8.87May 31, 2022$2.62Jun 29, 2022−70.4%Bitcoin −36.6%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$8.87May 31, 2022$1.55Aug 28, 2022−82.6%Bitcoin −38.4%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$8.87May 31, 2022$1.56Nov 26, 2022−82.4%Bitcoin −48.1%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$8.87May 31, 2022$0.8628May 30, 2023−90.3%Bitcoin −12.7%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$8.87May 31, 2022$0.1864May 29, 2025−97.9%Bitcoin +232.7%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——May 29, 2027——
Why: 30 days

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On Jun 29, 2022 it closed at $2.62, a return of −70.4%. BTC returned −36.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On Aug 28, 2022 it closed at $1.55, a return of −82.6%. BTC returned −38.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On Nov 26, 2022 it closed at $1.56, a return of −82.4%. BTC returned −48.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On May 30, 2023 it closed at $0.8628, a return of −90.3%. BTC returned −12.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

LUNA closed at $8.87 on May 31, 2022. On May 29, 2025 it closed at $0.1864, a return of −97.9%. BTC returned +232.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes May 29, 2027.

What was said around it

the initial supply of new Luna both lunc and ustc have continued to crash by contrast Luna is showing signs of life with the price that's holding steady at around five dollars this gives Tara a market cap of 1.2 billion assuming 210 million Luna are in circulation as per coin market cap as I mentioned in my video about Terra Classics collapse many in the terror Community had no choice but to Rally behind the new chain as it represents their only hope of reclaiming some of their lost funds as such Luna is likely to see a lot of cell pressure as its Supply gradually unlocks and it's not currently clear whether there will be enough demand to keep Luna's price from falling below its five dollar support for now Luna has the wind at its back as it continues to list on major cryptocurrency exchanges and it looks like almost every single one has signaled its support for the project in some way similarly many Terror projects have begun to redeploy their dapps on terror and infrastructure service providers are likewise calibrating their codes to support the new chain the only problem is that terra's implosion has attracted the attention of regulators around the world and any regulatory actions

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

Coin BureauLUNAwill rise

“this will increase the demand for UST in the long term and in turn this will have a positive impact on the price of Luna”

Mar 28, 2022 · after 1 year

Incorrect

Coin BureauLUNA— around $90.00

“on the daily i see a bull flag forming that could take luna to around 90 which is where it's likely to see some cell pressure”

Feb 28, 2022

Not scored

Coin BureauLUNAwill rise to $200.00

“the availability and popularity of ust mean that luna might manage to squeeze out another two to three x giving it a price tag of between 150 and 200”

Feb 1, 2022 · after 1 year

Incorrect