Coin Bureau: GLD will fall

Said on Mar 6, 2025, at 16:34 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“from our perspective The View that gold may be approaching a local top appears to hold”
Watch at 16:34Gold Prices Skyrocket: Is a Global Shortage Coming?
PredictionGLDwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$268.25

Mar 6, 2025

Price at close

$473.51

Mar 6, 2026

Total return, dividends included

+76.5%

S&P 500 +18.8%

GLD closed at $268.25 on Mar 6, 2025. On Mar 6, 2026 it closed at $473.51, a total return of +76.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +18.8%. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

GLDWindow checked
$200$300$400$500$600Sep 2024Jan 2025May 2025Sep 2025Jan 2026May 2026Said on Mar 6, 2025
$200$300$400$500$600Sep 2024Mar 2025Oct 2025May 2026Said on Mar 6, 2025

GLD closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$268.25Mar 6, 2025$279.72Apr 4, 2025+4.3%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 −11.5%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$268.25Mar 6, 2025$310.90Jun 4, 2025+15.9%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +4.4%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$268.25Mar 6, 2025$325.59Sep 2, 2025+21.4%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +12.5%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$268.25Mar 6, 2025$473.51Mar 6, 2026+76.5%Total return, dividends includedS&P 500 +18.8%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 3, 2028——
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Mar 5, 2030——
Why: 30 days

GLD closed at $268.25 on Mar 6, 2025. On Apr 4, 2025 it closed at $279.72, a total return of +4.3% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −11.5%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

GLD closed at $268.25 on Mar 6, 2025. On Jun 4, 2025 it closed at $310.90, a total return of +15.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +4.4%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

GLD closed at $268.25 on Mar 6, 2025. On Sep 2, 2025 it closed at $325.59, a total return of +21.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +12.5%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

GLD closed at $268.25 on Mar 6, 2025. On Mar 6, 2026 it closed at $473.51, a total return of +76.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +18.8%. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 3, 2028.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Mar 5, 2030.

What was said around it

forecast a price range of $2,800 to $3,000 per ounce meanwhile UK Bank HSBC predicts that Gold's 2025 price will be within a range of 2350 and $ 2,950 per ounce elsewhere AZ research predicts gold's price will be around $285 per ounce and Commerce Bank forecasts that gold's price will fall to as low as $2,600 per ounce however some analysts are slightly less bullish giving out forecasts lower than gold's price at the time of shooting this this video this suggests that gold's price could be hitting a local top overall then it's a bit of a mixed bag however from our perspective The View that gold may be approaching a local top appears to hold the most weight no pun intended that's simply because much of gold's price action seems to be driven by uncertainty and the surge in investors rushing to move gold into the US ahead of potential tariffs logically then if Trump were to confirm that there will be no gold tariffs this this uncertainty would end and the flow of gold into the US would slow down significantly the same would be true if we see a lasting resolution to conflicts in places like Ukraine which would reduce geopolitical uncertainty and thus gold demand if gold's price is indeed approaching

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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