Coin Bureau: ETH will rise

Said on Sep 20, 2022, at 11:16 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“in the long term it should be price positive”
Watch at 11:16Ethereum Merge Done: Now WHAT? Will ETH Recover?!
PredictionETHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$1,323

Sep 20, 2022

Price at close

$1,622

Sep 20, 2023

Return

+22.6%

S&P 500 +16.0%

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 20, 2023 it closed at $1,622, a return of +22.6%. SPY returned +16.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

ETHWindow checked
$500$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000Mar 2022Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 20, 2022
$0$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000Mar 2022Oct 2022May 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 20, 2022

ETH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,283Oct 20, 2022−3.1%S&P 500 −4.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,168Dec 19, 2022−11.7%S&P 500 −0.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,781Mar 19, 2023+34.6%S&P 500 +2.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,622Sep 20, 2023+22.6%S&P 500 +16.0%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$4,469Sep 19, 2025+237.8%S&P 500 +80.1%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 19, 2027——
Why: 30 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Oct 20, 2022 it closed at $1,283, a return of −3.1%. SPY returned −4.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Dec 19, 2022 it closed at $1,168, a return of −11.7%. SPY returned −0.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Mar 19, 2023 it closed at $1,781, a return of +34.6%. SPY returned +2.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 20, 2023 it closed at $1,622, a return of +22.6%. SPY returned +16.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 19, 2025 it closed at $4,469, a return of +237.8%. SPY returned +80.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 19, 2027.

What was said around it

billion dollars 85 percent said they are adopting crypto payments to find and gain new customers you also have to factor in the scaling and efficiency gains that are likely to come because of the continued development of layer 2 Solutions and as mentioned before sharding will only make the case for Roll-Ups that much more compelling now all of this utility use demand combined with an increase in Burns decreased supply means an asset that should be that much more valuable holding all other things equal okay so that's the monetary Dynamics behind each demand and Supply drivers in the long term it should be price positive however once the Shanghai upgrade has been pushed could this result in a flood of unstaked eth hitting the market well not quite firstly there is the question around the initial deposits of the validators if you'll recall these were 32 eth well once Shanghai has been implemented and people can unstake this Heath there will still be a process to handle the amount that can be unstaked in a given period this is in order to ensure that there isn't that much of a change in the validator set in a given time obviously that would be a risk to the network as such there will be quote

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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