Andrei Jikh: BTC will fall

Said on Jul 11, 2022, at 13:13 in the video.

What was said
Andrei Jikh

@andreijikh

“by august there's a solid chance that bitcoin could fall substantially in value”
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PredictionBTCwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$19,964

Jul 11, 2022

Price at close

$30,622

Jul 11, 2023

Return

+53.4%

S&P 500 +17.0%

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Jul 11, 2023 it closed at $30,622, a return of +53.4%. SPY returned +17.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Correct

180 days

Correct

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

BTCWindow checked
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Jan 2022May 2022Sep 2022Jan 2023May 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 11, 2022
$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Jan 2022Aug 2022Feb 2023Sep 2023Said on Jul 11, 2022

BTC closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,964Jul 11, 2022$23,954Aug 10, 2022+20.0%S&P 500 +9.3%
90 daysR-DIR v4Correct$19,964Jul 11, 2022$19,439Oct 9, 2022−2.6%S&P 500 −5.2%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$19,964Jul 11, 2022$16,944Jan 7, 2023−15.1%S&P 500 +1.9%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,964Jul 11, 2022$30,622Jul 11, 2023+53.4%S&P 500 +17.0%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$19,964Jul 11, 2022$116,010Jul 10, 2025+481.1%S&P 500 +69.9%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Jul 10, 2027——
Why: 30 days

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Aug 10, 2022 it closed at $23,954, a return of +20.0%. SPY returned +9.3% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Oct 9, 2022 it closed at $19,439, a return of −2.6%. SPY returned −5.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Jan 7, 2023 it closed at $16,944, a return of −15.1%. SPY returned +1.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Jul 11, 2023 it closed at $30,622, a return of +53.4%. SPY returned +17.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

BTC closed at $19,964 on Jul 11, 2022. On Jul 10, 2025 it closed at $116,010, a return of +481.1%. SPY returned +69.9% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Jul 10, 2027.

What was said around it

expecting their bitcoin have already sold off their rights to their settlements to companies like fortress investment group these are hedge funds that have purchased these settlements from people at a cash value that's highly discounted because at that time it wasn't for sure that these people would get their settlement so they purchased the rights to these settlements at a crazy discount so the truth is that some of these bitcoins could end up in the hands of big companies now how many of those 137 000 have already been bought i don't know but the point is that by august there's a solid chance that bitcoin could fall substantially in value and if you see that now you know why now personally i'm still dollar cost averaging and investing in the markets regardless of what's going on but i'm crossing my fingers that i can get access to my bitcoin from voyager so far there have been no updates on that front but if anything changes i'll keep you posted as always have a wonderful rest of your day smash the like button subscribe if you haven't already go grab up to 250 worth of free bitcoin with this link right here go grab your free stocks links are down below and then go track them automatically

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