Why: 30 days
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On Jun 14, 2022 it closed at $51.58, a total return of −16.4% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −6.6%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On Aug 12, 2022 it closed at $90.49, a total return of +46.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +7.2%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On Nov 11, 2022 it closed at $57.46, a total return of −6.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +0.4%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On May 15, 2023 it closed at $60.77, a total return of −1.5% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +5.0%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On May 14, 2025 it closed at $263.41, a total return of +326.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +53.4%. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes May 14, 2027.
Why: Stated deadline
COIN closed at $61.70 on May 16, 2022. On Dec 30, 2022 it closed at $35.39, a total return of −42.6% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −3.2%. The call was that it would fall.