Why: 30 days
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Oct 25, 2023 it closed at $1,787, a return of +12.5%. SPY returned −3.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Dec 24, 2023 it closed at $2,264, a return of +42.5%. SPY returned +10.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Mar 23, 2024 it closed at $3,330, a return of +109.6%. SPY returned +21.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Sep 24, 2024 it closed at $2,653, a return of +67.0%. SPY returned +34.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Sep 24, 2026 it closed at $2,688, a return of +69.2%. SPY returned +84.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 23, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
ETH closed at $1,588 on Sep 25, 2023. On Mar 23, 2024 it closed at $3,330, a return of +109.6%. SPY returned +21.5% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.