Coin Bureau: ETH will fall

Said on Dec 12, 2022, at 24:57 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“in reference to what would give you the same type of deep value that investors saw back in 2018 I think you have to look to that lower logarithmic regression band for ethereum”
Watch at 24:57Crypto News: Tether, Alameda, ETH Upgrade, Cash Ban & More!!
PredictionETHwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$1,275

Dec 12, 2022

Price at close

$2,203

Dec 12, 2023

Return

+72.8%

S&P 500 +18.2%

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 12, 2023 it closed at $2,203, a return of +72.8%. SPY returned +18.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

The window it was checked over

ETHWindow checked
$500$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000Jun 2022Oct 2022Feb 2023Jun 2023Oct 2023Feb 2024Said on Dec 12, 2022
$500$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000Jun 2022Jan 2023Jul 2023Feb 2024Said on Dec 12, 2022

ETH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,275Dec 12, 2022$1,389Jan 11, 2023+8.9%S&P 500 −0.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,275Dec 12, 2022$1,580Mar 12, 2023+23.9%S&P 500 −2.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,275Dec 12, 2022$1,752Jun 10, 2023+37.3%S&P 500 +8.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,275Dec 12, 2022$2,203Dec 12, 2023+72.8%S&P 500 +18.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,275Dec 12, 2022$3,237Dec 11, 2025+153.8%S&P 500 +80.0%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Dec 11, 2027——
Why: 30 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Jan 11, 2023 it closed at $1,389, a return of +8.9%. SPY returned −0.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Mar 12, 2023 it closed at $1,580, a return of +23.9%. SPY returned −2.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Jun 10, 2023 it closed at $1,752, a return of +37.3%. SPY returned +8.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 12, 2023 it closed at $2,203, a return of +72.8%. SPY returned +18.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 11, 2025 it closed at $3,237, a return of +153.8%. SPY returned +80.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 11, 2027.

What was said around it

attractive accumulation range for the next several years okay so in the same way ethereum today is trading for you know 1200 or so plus or minus a hundred dollars of course it depends on the day so in the grand scheme of things of course uh you know it it probably isn't the worst price but in terms of the same type of value that we saw back in 2018 I think you're still talking uh about a new leg lower for ethereum to get it to those lower prices again there's no guarantees of course that we we make it there but in reference to what would give you the same type of deep value that investors saw back in 2018 I think you have to look to that lower logarithmic regression band for ethereum and and make the comparisons to every single bear Market we eventually made it to that logarithmic regression band sometimes it took longer than other times but in every instance ethereum eventually came home and then finally if we look at the cardano bear Market in the context of its prior bear Market from 2018 the first thing that you'll notice is that the 2018 bear market for Ada looks like it lasted a really long time and in fact if you just look at the bear Market from 2018 this is sort of what it looks

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