Coin Bureau: ETH will fall

Said on Dec 12, 2022, at 11:51 in the video.

What was saidDec 12, 2022

@coinbureau

“if you're wondering what all this means for eth the short answer seems to be that it will be bearish in the short term but extremely bullish in the long term”

Watch at 11:51Crypto News: Tether, Alameda, ETH Upgrade, Cash Ban & More!!

PredictionETHwill fallChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

What happenedafter 1 year

Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$1,275

Dec 12, 2022

Price at close

$2,203

Dec 12, 2023

Return

+72.8%

S&P 500 +18.2%

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 12, 2023 it closed at $2,203, a return of +72.8%. SPY returned +18.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidence Report a problem

The window it was checked over

ETHWindow checked

ETH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Result at every window
Window	Result	At the start	At the end	Change	Benchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$1,275Dec 12, 2022	$1,389Jan 11, 2023	+8.9%	S&P 500 −0.4%
90 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$1,275Dec 12, 2022	$1,580Mar 12, 2023	+23.9%	S&P 500 −2.8%
180 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$1,275Dec 12, 2022	$1,752Jun 10, 2023	+37.3%	S&P 500 +8.7%
1 yearR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$1,275Dec 12, 2022	$2,203Dec 12, 2023	+72.8%	S&P 500 +18.2%
3 yearsR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$1,275Dec 12, 2022	$3,237Dec 11, 2025	+153.8%	S&P 500 +80.0%
5 yearsR-DIR v4	Pending	—	—Dec 11, 2027	—	—

Why: 30 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Jan 11, 2023 it closed at $1,389, a return of +8.9%. SPY returned −0.4% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 90 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Mar 12, 2023 it closed at $1,580, a return of +23.9%. SPY returned −2.8% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 180 days

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Jun 10, 2023 it closed at $1,752, a return of +37.3%. SPY returned +8.7% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 1 year

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 12, 2023 it closed at $2,203, a return of +72.8%. SPY returned +18.2% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 3 years

ETH closed at $1,275 on Dec 12, 2022. On Dec 11, 2025 it closed at $3,237, a return of +153.8%. SPY returned +80.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 11, 2027.

What was said around it

Solutions on par with smart contract cryptocurrencies such as Solana and Aptos more importantly it would put them on a par with payments networks such as visa and MasterCard note that vitalik was talking about crypto payments just recently eip-4844 also known as proto-danksharding was initially going to be a part of the Shanghai hard Fork but has been pushed back to May or June of next year so that ethereum developers could focus on unstaking I reckon that's a reasonable thing to do given the significance of the upgrade now if you're wondering what all this means for eth the short answer seems to be that it will be bearish in the short term but extremely bullish in the long term that's again because Shanghai could result in lots of eth selling whereas eip-4844 will significantly increase scalability if you're wondering what all this means for the so-called ethereum Killers the short answer is that it depends on which one you're talking about if you're subscribed to My Weekly Newsletter you'll know that evm compatible ethereum competitors are looking ever less competitive as ethereum improves that's because the only thing that really separates them from ethereum is their scalability and ethereum

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all

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“While none of us here have a crystal ball, the likely answer is that ETH finishes the year significantly higher than the sub $2,000 price we're seeing right now.”

Jul 30, 2026 · after 90 days

Correct so far · 90 days+23.0%

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“Arthur Hayes is now openly predicting ETH falls out of the top three by 2030.”

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Coin BureauETHwill fall

“And to be blunt, ETH's price will probably underperform in future cycles, too.”