Joseph Carlson: Bubble burst — not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

Said on Apr 27, 2022, at 2:31 in the video.

What was said
Joseph Carlson

@josephcarlsonshow

“i've noticed that we're in a content bubble that is starting to explode that's right i believe we're in a content bubble and that bubble right now is being popped”
Watch at 2:31The Content Bubble Just Popped
PredictionBubble burst— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in generalChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Not verifiable

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

30 days

Not verifiable

90 days

Not verifiable

180 days

Not verifiable

1 year

Not verifiable

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
90 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
180 daysR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
1 yearR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
3 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
5 yearsR-CRASH v4Not verifiable————
Why: 30 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 90 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 180 days

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 1 year

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 3 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

Why: 5 years

Not verifiable: subject not covered. The call names a subject other than the US stock market as a whole; this rule reads SPY only.

What was said around it

of the earnings season they reported on april 19th so this is before almost every other company reports their earnings and that means that netflix is unique and being the first one to report and oftentimes you really don't know what to expect because there's no other company to gauge your earnings reports based off of netflix is just going in without any context now that we've had a couple more companies report their earnings i've noticed a common theme something that i think is a bigger concern than just netflix i've noticed that we're in a content bubble that is starting to explode that's right i believe we're in a content bubble and that bubble right now is being popped now hear me out here let's consider the evidence one of my biggest holdings is microsoft and they just reported earnings microsoft's earnings were frankly amazing as usual as you'd expect with this company they reported earnings that beat both in the top line revenue the bottom line earnings and they're growing their microsoft cloud business like crazy do you realize that microsoft's cloud business has a revenue run rate of 93.6 billion dollars per year just in their cloud business they're almost revenueing over 100

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

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Andrei JikhBubble burst— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“And that pattern is what I think will most likely happen with AI. I think it's the initial investors, the people buying at 1.75 trillion dollar valuations, the passive funds that are forced in by these rule changes, they're”

Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Andrei JikhBubble burst— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“And higher yields are the one thing that could pop everything we've talked about, like all the paper profits and the circular spending and the $150 billion in corporate bonds that all these companies issued to fund their AI spending, right?”

Jun 5, 2026 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Coin Bureaua call under review

“When 1/3 of the world's traded helium supply vanishes from the market, the speculative technology bubble faces a mathematical reality check that no amount of venture capital can solve.”

Apr 12, 2026

Not scored

Andrei Jikha call under review

“So eventually everything corrects just like it did in the dotcom bubble when the internet was going to be the future. And what happened back then? It all crashed. The bubble popped.”

Nov 11, 2025

Not scored

Coin BureauBubble burst— not judged: the rule reads only the US stock market in general

“And that, ladies and gentlemen, is exactly how a blowoff top in crypto will occur. Make no mistake, nobody knows for sure when it will happen. and there's absolutely no guarantee that it will, but historical cycles suggest it may.”

Mar 27, 2025 · after 1 year

Not verifiable

Andrei Jikh, relaying another source: Bubble burst will happen

“the super bubble pop will drop the market by an insane amount”

Sep 2, 2022

Relayed