Why: 30 days
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Feb 25, 2023 it closed at $1,595, a return of −0.4%. SPY returned −2.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 90 days
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Apr 26, 2023 it closed at $1,866, a return of +16.5%. SPY returned +0.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 180 days
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Jul 25, 2023 it closed at $1,858, a return of +16.0%. SPY returned +13.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 1 year
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Jan 26, 2024 it closed at $2,268, a return of +41.6%. SPY returned +22.3% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 3 years
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Jan 25, 2026 it closed at $2,817, a return of +75.9%. SPY returned +77.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Jan 25, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
ETH closed at $1,601 on Jan 26, 2023. On Dec 31, 2023 it closed at $2,282, a return of +42.5%. SPY returned +19.2% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.