Why: 30 days
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Oct 4, 2023 it closed at $1,647, a return of +1.0%. SPY returned −5.1% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 90 days
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Dec 3, 2023 it closed at $2,193, a return of +34.5%. SPY returned +2.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 180 days
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Mar 2, 2024 it closed at $3,421, a return of +109.8%. SPY returned +15.0% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 1 year
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Sep 3, 2024 it closed at $2,425, a return of +48.7%. SPY returned +24.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 3 years
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Sep 3, 2026 it closed at $2,508, a return of +53.8%. SPY returned +78.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.
Why: 5 years
Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 2, 2028.
Why: Stated deadline
ETH closed at $1,631 on Sep 4, 2023. On Dec 3, 2023 it closed at $2,193, a return of +34.5%. SPY returned +2.6% over the same window. The call was that it would fall.