Coin Bureau: ETH will rise

Said on Sep 20, 2022, at 14:15 in the video.

What was said
Coin Bureau

@coinbureau

“so the dreaded scenario of unstaked eth crashing the price seems to be less likely”
Watch at 14:15Ethereum Merge Done: Now WHAT? Will ETH Recover?!
PredictionETHwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years
What happenedafter 1 year
Correct

Entry price (first close after the video)

$1,323

Sep 20, 2022

Price at close

$1,622

Sep 20, 2023

Return

+22.6%

S&P 500 +16.0%

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 20, 2023 it closed at $1,622, a return of +22.6%. SPY returned +16.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Correct

1 year

Correct

The window it was checked over

ETHWindow checked
$500$1,000$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000$3,500$4,000Mar 2022Jul 2022Nov 2022Mar 2023Jul 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 20, 2022
$0$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000Mar 2022Oct 2022May 2023Nov 2023Said on Sep 20, 2022

ETH closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked
Result at every window
WindowResultAt the startAt the endChangeBenchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,283Oct 20, 2022−3.1%S&P 500 −4.9%
90 daysR-DIR v4Incorrect$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,168Dec 19, 2022−11.7%S&P 500 −0.6%
180 daysR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,781Mar 19, 2023+34.6%S&P 500 +2.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$1,622Sep 20, 2023+22.6%S&P 500 +16.0%
3 yearsR-DIR v4Correct$1,323Sep 20, 2022$4,469Sep 19, 2025+237.8%S&P 500 +80.1%
5 yearsR-DIR v4Pending——Sep 19, 2027——
Why: 30 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Oct 20, 2022 it closed at $1,283, a return of −3.1%. SPY returned −4.9% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Dec 19, 2022 it closed at $1,168, a return of −11.7%. SPY returned −0.6% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Mar 19, 2023 it closed at $1,781, a return of +34.6%. SPY returned +2.4% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 20, 2023 it closed at $1,622, a return of +22.6%. SPY returned +16.0% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 3 years

ETH closed at $1,323 on Sep 20, 2022. On Sep 19, 2025 it closed at $4,469, a return of +237.8%. SPY returned +80.1% over the same window. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Sep 19, 2027.

What was said around it

loss this will only be the case if they were in desperate need for funds and willing to take the L but this doesn't really make sense to me that's because if there were ever a question about the need for liquidity they wouldn't have locked it up for an uncertain period of time in the staking contract according to more data from nanson quote eth Millionaires and billionaires have consistently been stacking ethereum since the beginning of this year seemingly unfazed by volatile markets smart money seems to be scaling in again after a low in early to mid-june so the dreaded scenario of unstaked eth crashing the price seems to be less likely however all of this assumes eth hasn't become an even more compelling investment post-merge allow me to explain the energy reduction that has been achieved by the move to proof of stake cannot be understated the move to proof of stake has cut eth energy use by 99.98 and carbon dioxide emissions by 99.992 percent according to a new report from the crypto ratings Council the entire ethereum network now uses less CO2 than a few hundred U.S households now I found this tweet particularly entertaining as it does a good job of visualizing exactly what the move

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.

See all