Joseph Carlson: NKE will rise

Said on Dec 19, 2024, at 16:00 in the video.

What was saidDec 19, 2024

@josephcarlsonshow

“I think this company could be a buy now I wouldn't be shocked if it trades further down in the short term there's always a chance for negative momentum but if we look at this 5 or 10 years out this one could be a good buy”

Watch at 16:00The Fed Turns Hawkish: "We’re Done Cutting"

PredictionNKEwill riseChecked at fixed windows, from 30 days to 5 years

What happenedafter 1 year

Incorrect

Entry price (first close after the video)

$76.94

Dec 20, 2024

Price at close

$58.71

Dec 19, 2025

Total return, dividends included

−21.9%

S&P 500 +16.5%

NKE closed at $76.94 on Dec 20, 2024. On Dec 19, 2025 it closed at $58.71, a total return of −21.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +16.5%. The call was that it would rise.

30 days

Incorrect

90 days

Incorrect

180 days

Incorrect

1 year

Incorrect

Details and evidence Report a problem

The window it was checked over

NKEWindow checked

NKE closing prices, adjusted for splits. The shaded span is the one-year window: it starts at the first close after the video went public and ends at the last close on or before one year after the day the video was published.

Result at every window

All windows are shown, so none is picked

Result at every window
Window	Result	At the start	At the end	Change	Benchmark
30 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$76.94Dec 20, 2024	$70.84Jan 17, 2025	−7.9%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +1.1%
90 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$76.94Dec 20, 2024	$72.99Mar 19, 2025	−4.7%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 −4.1%
180 daysR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$76.94Dec 20, 2024	$60.00Jun 17, 2025	−21.1%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +1.4%
1 yearR-DIR v4	Incorrect	$76.94Dec 20, 2024	$58.71Dec 19, 2025	−21.9%Total return, dividends included	S&P 500 +16.5%
3 yearsR-DIR v4	Pending	—	—Dec 17, 2027	—	—
5 yearsR-DIR v4	Pending	—	—Dec 18, 2029	—	—

Why: 30 days

NKE closed at $76.94 on Dec 20, 2024. On Jan 17, 2025 it closed at $70.84, a total return of −7.9% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +1.1%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 90 days

NKE closed at $76.94 on Dec 20, 2024. On Mar 19, 2025 it closed at $72.99, a total return of −4.7% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was −4.1%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 180 days

NKE closed at $76.94 on Dec 20, 2024. On Jun 17, 2025 it closed at $60.00, a total return of −21.1% (dividends included). SPY's total return over the same window was +1.4%. The call was that it would rise.

Why: 1 year

Why: 3 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 17, 2027.

Why: 5 years

Not yet resolved. The window closes Dec 18, 2029.

What was said around it

indicate Nike's ability to regain consumer interest and potentially capture market share thus driving future growth I think this last point is probably the most important out of all the things going on with Nike they need to show that they can continue to innovate cuz right now they're being beat by a lot of other smaller companies overall given the brand value of Nike the legacy of this company their ability to generate cash flows and the valuation right now that's somewhat undemanding I think this company could be a buy now I wouldn't be shocked if it trades further down in the short term there's always a chance for negative momentum but if we look at this 5 or 10 years out this one could be a good buy the reason that I'm not adding it to my portfolio is that last point that the what to watch for feature brought up the fact that Nike is trying to innovate and catch up to other brands I don't like companies that are way behind on Innovation right now Nikes and ketchup mode and they're facing a lot more competition than they did 10 years ago so for me even though I'm bullish on this company overall I'm going to sit this one out now next we have this continued product release spree of

What a person said is shown in their own words and is never translated. The link goes to the exact second in the video.